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Tuesday, October 20, 2009

What is Reflation?

Reflation is the intentional practice of a government to reverse the existing deflation. Today the word is also used widely to describe the first phase of recovery after a recession. Reflation is a complex process and involves many steps which aim at increasing a country's economical output. Usually a reflation policy includes,
  • Reducing (almost all types of) taxes.
  • Changing the money supply or injecting money to key economic sectors like infrastructure development.
  • Lowering interest rates.
The resultant injection of money into the economy causes rise in commodity prices and inflation. Many investors take the reflation phase as an investing opportunity. They can change their investments from low-risk low-profit instruments like treasury investments to high-risk high-profit investments like stocks. They can also take this as an opportunity to reinvest the pre-invested money. But the success of these strategies greatly depends on the trader's investing knowledge and skill in money/risk management.

Over the years, many countries and governments have implemented different reflation policies with different levels of success. Reflation policies are also implemented widely to sustain the economic boom by reducing the chances of backward growth. One thing every reflation policy does is increase the national deficit or debt. Over a long term, this increased debt tempts the policymakers to reverse the entire procedure - increase taxes and increase the interest rate - to fill the debt.

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