The Week Ahead: The Dow Industrials all time highs of last
week has confidence brimming across the market place with Daily
Sentiment Index readings in excess of 92% bulls as few traders
believe a decline is in the offing, albeit a bearish contrary
signal. Stocks will become especially sensitive to economic
reports this week as wholesale trade numbers are released Tuesday,
Fed minutes from its last meeting are out Wednesday, a government
report on gasoline and crude oil stocks out on Thursday, and
October's consumer sentiment numbers on Friday.
Stocks to Watch: GM stock tumbled as Kirk Kerkorian halted his
plans to acquire up to12% of the stock after talks to align
with Renault and Nissan broke off. Google (GOOG) is marching
past near term price resistance as talks to acquire YouTube
continue. Micron Technologies (MU) plunged significantly after
missing an earnings target and has dropped below the 200 day
moving average. Shares of Salesforce.com (CRM) is poised to
test its all time high of 42.99 as it broke out of near term
resistance after its CEO won a favorable industry award.
Special Note: The sustainability of the rally that started in
June on the DOW has been in doubt because of the many intermarket
bearish divergences of related indexes both here and abroad.
This week the markets will be at the 4 year anniversary of the
extreme low of October 2002 except now arguably an extreme high
could be forming ahead of a normal 4 year cyclical pattern that
usually bottoms with up to a 20% correction or more. Investors
should continue to use strategies such as hedging or diversifying
into different asset classes.
Commentary provided by Barry ward, Registered Principal at NobleTrading.com,
Inc.
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