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- NobleTrading Weekly Market Letter
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   October 30, 2006    
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The Week Ahead: The market will have no shortage of reports to digest this week ahead of the midterm elections next week. Monday starts with personal income and spending numbers for September. Tuesday brings both the 3rd quarter employment cost index and October's consumer confidence index. On Wednesday, October auto sales, September construction spending, and weekly crude oil and gasoline inventories are released. Thursday, 3rd quarter productivity, labor costs, and September factory orders come out. Finally, Friday's employment report will sum things up in regards to overall economic health.

Stocks to Watch: Oil stocks could be poised for a resumption of there longer term uptrend as Chevron's(CVX) 3rd quarter profit rose 40% on higher production volume. One way to take advantage of a potential rebound is through the United States Oil Fund (USO) an electronically traded fund or ETF which looks poised for a move higher after its recent downtrend. Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) hepatitis C drug is showing promise as is its stock after gapping higher and could be a buying candidate on any dips. McAfee (MFE) reported higher 3rd quarter earnings and received a recent analyst upgrade.

Special Note: The 3rd quarter GDP dropped to only 1.6% as the housing sector fell 17%. Residential construction alone shaved 1% off growth. This combined with a widening trade deficit has created a dichotomy between economic performance and stock market performance in recent months. The further the economy slows, the more difficult year over year earnings comparisons will be for a large majority of companies. This sets up the potential for many downside surprises for companies whose stock has risen substantially over a short period of time. Investments should be chosen selectively over different sectors and asset classes and hedged where appropriate.


Commentary provided by Barry Ward, Registerd Principal, NobleTrading.com, Inc.

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