The Week Ahead: The congressional elections jolted Washington
but not Wall Street as the power shift to Democrats could not
stop momentum in stock prices. Profit growth for the 4th quarter
and interest rate direction is now the focus. Tuesday finds
the PPI and retail sales numbers for October as well as business
inventories for September. Wednesday has crude oil and gasoline
inventories. On Thursday, October's CPI, industrial production,
and capacity utilization reports come out. Last is Friday's
October housing starts.
Stocks to Watch: Three important earnings releases are do this
week for Hewlett Packard (HPQ), Home Depot (HD), and Wal-Mart
(WMT). Of these HPQ appears to have the steadiest uptrend. Boeing
(BA) received another significant contract, this time for Air
Force combat helicopters worth up to $13 billion spurring confidence
in the defense sector despite the changes in Congress. Shares
of NYSE Group (NYX) are gaining ahead of a key vote by Euronext
NV shareholders in December that could finalize a merger between
the two company's.
Special Note: Despite the underlying weakness building in many
fundamental and technical indicators for the markets as noted
in previous weeks in this column, seasonal bullish tendencies
for November and December seem to have the upper hand for investors
especially since enough momentum has built up since June and
July to carry markets to year end. Regardless, buyers beware
and be prepared for the formation of a completed top as 07'
approaches. Diversify portfolios with a mixture of longs and
shorts spread among various sectors.
Commentary provided by Barry ward, Registered Principal at NobleTrading.com,
Inc.
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