The Week Ahead: Although more new jobs were added in November
than forecasted, job growth is still below what is needed to
off-set new employees entering the job market. Watch Tuesday's
Fed meeting to determine if the economy is slowing enough to
warrant interest rate cuts in the months ahead. Other days with
reports to watch are Monday's wholesale trade numbers, Tuesday's
trade deficit, Wednesday's retail sales and business inventories,
Thursday's weekly jobless claims and import prices, and Friday's
CPI, industrial production, and capacity utilization.
Stocks to Watch: McDonald's (MCD) enjoyed sales growth of 5.1%
on higher margin products as the stock rises on waning upside
momentum. Citigroup {C} has been rising on speculation the company
may be broken up as analysts feel the parts are worth more than
the whole. Verifone (Pay) continues to show solid earnings on
worldwide growth numbers as its stock continues into all time
high territory. Ingersoll Rand (IR) has broken through the 200
day moving average as its board approved a $2 billion buyback
of its class A shares. Finally, Bank of America (BAC) may acquire
Barclays Plc based on a Merrill Lynch report.
Special Note: The Dow Industrials are poised yet again for another
break to new all time highs despite a deteriorating technical
backdrop. Although fundamentals beneath most company's are currently
stable, the earnings going forward will likely be impacted by
such factors as a declining manufacturing sector especially
construction jobs which recently fell sharply and falling productivity
numbers. Stocks that have been strong all year may remain so
as many investors defer selling until the new tax year. Continue
to diversify portfolio positions.
Commentary by Barry Ward, Registered Principal, NobleTrading.com,
Inc.
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